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Sat, May 17, 2008

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Islamic Banking
A Solution
By Bijan Bidabad
Interest Rate Cut Not Applicable
Steel Output to Increase
Economic Interaction Underlined
Call for Focusing
On Asian Energy Markets
17,000 MW of Hydroelectricity Under Consideration
Forum to Review Petrochem Competition

Islamic Banking
A Solution
By Bijan Bidabad
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The very characteristic of laissez-faire economy is its sinusoidal functioning every 7 to 11 years. First, there is prosperity and then recession and ultimately a crisis and then after a while once again prosperity.
This functioning, in fact, stems from the attitude of the people involved in the economy. Some trade cycles are so huge that they can bring about poverty and unemployment worldwide. The good example of this is the Great Depression of 1929. Economic crises are rooted in a phenomenon that is strongly negated in Islam.
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Profit rates are determined by the monetary market, which fluctuates more than the production sector, in which the capital recovery rate is established. The norm is that transfer of capital immediately affects the profit rate and this in turn impacts the production sector. Apart from the notion that the hike or reduction of supply or demand changes the trade cycle, the main parameter behind the establishment of the cycle is the fluctuations in profit rate, which directly affect the real economic sector, that is production. If production is to proceed with greater stability, the banking system, which is the very source of profit rate, must be regulated in such a manner that profit and capital recovery rates are directly tied to each other.
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Islam sees the solution to the global crunch as elimination of interest rate and the participation of the party extending the loan in the profit.
Islam sees the solution to this phenomenon as elimination of interest rate and the participation of the party extending the loan in the profit.
The global economy reached a position in 1929 wherein the profit rate was lowered significantly and for all practical purposes investors had no incentives to chip in money. This implied that there had to be negative profit rates to motivate potential investors. It is obvious that negative profit rates never emerge on the economic scene and this phenomenon is referred to as cash flow trap in economic jargon. This means that no matter how much money is injected to the market to lower the profit rate, investors found no incentives to invest. Therefore, under the circumstances, resorting to monetary policy could not overcome the crisis either. What economic expert John Keynes proposed in those years was to pursue monetary expansion policy.
The situation in recent years is analogous to the crisis of 1929, as real estate is experiencing a slump in the US and the profit rate has been lowered all over the world. Western banks have been suffering substantial losses--a situation similar to the one that existed in 1929.
Moreover, oil prices are record high and the cost price of goods and services in the US has also been on the rise. Prices of essential commodities have even increased due to drought.

Interest Rate Cut Not Applicable
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Central Bank of Iran has said that it cannot implement the decision to cut interest rates until several problems are addressed, Press TV wrote.
“One part of the plan that the CBI has authority over has been drawn out and must be enforced,“ CBI Governor Tahmasb Mazaheri said on Wednesday in reference to the bank’s three-pronged plan.
“Money and Credit Council has delegated its authority on the matter to the government’s economic commission and some amendments have been made on behalf of the Council,“ he added.
According to Mazaheri, certain parts of the plan favored by the economic commission and provided to the CBI contained both contextual flaws and contradictions.
The CBI governor added that he had explained the problem in detail in a letter to President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. “I am waiting for the president to order a review into the issue, so that necessary changes can be made,“ he said.
He asserted that the draft of the plan sent by the commission to CBI regarding interest rates was in contradiction to Ahmadinejad’s announcement on the previous day.

Steel Output to Increase
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Steel production capacity of the northeastern province of Khorasan Razavi will increase by four million tons once the three provincial steel projects go on full production, said deputy industries and mines minister.
Speaking to IRNA during a visit to Sabzevar Steel mills, Ahmad Harati-Nik said that Khorasan Razavi province has three steel mills located in the cities of Sabzevar, Neishabour and Torbat Heidariyeh.
“The nominal capacity of Sabzevar steel plan is 800,000 tons and this will reach one million tons,“ he added.
The official noted that Neishabour steel mills comprised of two units which produce over two million tons of steel annually. He added that Torbat Heidariyeh steel plant is the third provincial steel factory which produces one million tons of steel per annum.

Economic Interaction Underlined
Given its special location in the region, Iran can link Central Asia and the Caucasus to other parts of the world via the Persian Gulf.
This is indeed an economic advantage for the Islamic Republic, as it can become an important transit point given its relatively inexpensive and talented workforce, oil and gas resources, rich mines as well as political and economic stability.
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Iran can link Central Asia and the Caucasus to other parts of the world via the Persian Gulf.
The reason for the problematic nature of the economic system of the country is that it is located in the Middle East which itself is an unstable region with abundant oil and gas reserves.
“Among the weaknesses of the economic system, one can refer to the perpetual practice of trial and error and the administrative changes, politicization of most state affairs, the non-prevalence of meritocracy and non-abidance by the principle of incentives and penalties in the administrative system,“ former representative of Central Bank of Iran (CBI) in the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Ali Yasseri told FNA.
Profiteering, which is basically due to the large size of the government, weak private sector and the government monopoly over petro dollars, is one major obstacle to downsizing of the government and empowering the private sector.
Turning to the prerequisites for improving the status quo, Yasseri contended, “No micro and macro policy will be successful unless economic, sociopolitical and cultural conditions have been prepared accordingly beforehand.
“Citizens must feel confident about the long-term future economic and political conditions. This must be in such a manner that people feel they can all contribute to the country’s advancement equally. In fact, real privatization is contingent upon meeting this target.“
All in all, it must be asserted that the economic system can and will improve provided that fixed short-, mid- and long-term strategies are devised so that the people, either potential investors or mere consumers, know what they are in for and are rest assured that it would not change with changes in the administration.
“This strategy should contain economic liberalization, privatization and meritocracy and above all ways of conforming to the prevailing conditions.
“Moreover, the administrative system must be rectified so that the government’s supervisory role, and not involvement, is clarified. Red tape must be minimized and all economic entities must be held accountable. Not to mention that financial corruption in both governmental and private sectors must be confronted and uprooted,“ commented Yasseri.
It must be understood that as long as the government exercises monopoly over oil revenues, it cannot be downsized. To tackle this, the government should divide oil revenues among the people every year.
“If oil revenues are distributed among the people, each citizen will get $1,000 based on current global prices,“ Yasseri pointed out.
“We need to actively interact with the global economy, as otherwise, there will be no sustainable development.
This in itself implies that we should endeavor to comply with the globalization campaign as much as possible,“ he concluded.

Call for Focusing
On Asian Energy Markets
Iran should focus on Asian energy markets, particularly India and China, to increase the security of energy supplies from the Middle East, director of the Caspian Sea Studies Center told MNA.
Abbas Maleki said that unstable oil price is linked to the events in the Middle East and this is a matter of grave concern as it can threaten global energy security.
“By 2030, Asian countries--India and China in particular--will be the major markets for liquefied natural gas, so we should develop long-term plans to export LNG to such regions,“ he said.
On expanding energy markets in Europe, he added that special attention should be paid to the KTI (Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Iran) and the Nabucco pipelines to materialize the goal.
Iran holds 137 billion barrels of proven crude oil deposits, which is second to Saudi Arabia. In terms of natural gas reserves, Iran is second to Russia.

17,000 MW of Hydroelectricity Under Consideration
Feasibility studies are underway to generate 17,000 megawatts of hydroelectric power nationwide, a top advisor to energy minister told MNA.
Speaking at the opening ceremony of the Second National Conference on Dams and Hydropower Plants, Abbas Aliabadi added hydroelectric power can meet 30 percent of the country’s energy demand.
Water and energy shortage will be the two major predicaments facing societies, he noted.
He added that Iran is among the semi-arid countries of the world and annual precipitation rate is lower than world average, but the country also has mountainous regions suitable for constructing hydroelectric power plants.

Forum to Review Petrochem Competition
Iran’s Eighth International Petrochemical Forum (IPF) will focus on global competition in the petrochemical market as well as challenges in the energy sector.
According to PIN, the forum, which is to be held in Tehran’s IRIB Conference Center on Saturday and Sunday, will also address issues affecting the petrochemical industry in Iran and the world.
Iran’s petrochemical output will reach 35 million tons this year. According to the National Petrochemical Company (NPC), in the last Iranian year to March 2008, some 12 petrochemical projects with a total nominal capacity of over 15 million tons went on stream. The projects were valued at $5.8 billion and the output increased to 23 million tons.

Supertanker on Rent
National Iranian Tanker Company has rented a supertanker for 90 days to store up to 270,000 tons of crude oil.

Investment Fund
Labor Minister Mohammad Jahromi says Oil Stabilization Fund should be turned into an investment fund to boost non-oil exports.

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Total Hopeful of Gas Deal
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French oil giant Total admitted it may be difficult to reach a deal with Iran over investment in the South Pars gas field due to the ongoing United States’ political pressure on the company, but said that it remains hopeful of agreeing on a deal in the long-term.
It follows decision by the UK/Dutch Shell Group on May 11 to cancel its involvement in another phase of the project due to sanctions pressure from the US, which remains concerned about Tehran’s independent progress in nuclear science.
According to FNA, Total’s Chief Executive Officer Christophe de Margerie said the company is yet to discuss the details of any contract with the client, National Iranian Oil Company, partly due to inflation in the energy sector and political pressure.
“In the short term, it will be difficult to find a win-win situation (but) we have told them we are interested in the long term,“ said De Margerie on the sidelines of an energy gathering in Doha, Qatar on May 12.
Total is considering developing a $10 billion liquefied natural gas (LNG) project using feedstock from phase 11 of the South Pars gas field development project. Yet, the French major announced on Monday that it was still interested in Iran’s South Pars gas field.
“It’s a project which still interests us,“ said a Total spokeswoman in Paris. “We have not decided to drop our interest in the project,“ she added.

US Sanctions Boosting Oil Price
Iran’s outgoing OPEC Governor Hossein Kazempour Ardebili has said that Washington’s sanctions against Iran are a major cause of high oil prices.
“I’ve seen oil fall to $6 a barrel and I’ve seen it rising to the current level,“ the 56-year-old official told Dow Jones.
“I warned it could happen as the result of long-term sanctions on major producers including Iran. We’re at a very critical time for OPEC with prices shooting up, and Iran being under sanctions,“ Kazempour Ardebili added.
Iran is the fourth world and the second largest OPEC oil producer and maintains a four-million-barrel output at a time when the US has been trying to discourage countries from funding oil and natural gas projects in the Islamic Republic. “Why should we increase production if Iran can’t use the money we’re getting as revenue because of sanctions,“ the official said.
Kazempour Ardebili has been Iran’s Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries governor for the past 26 years.
He will officially hand over his position to Mohammad Ali Khatibi, the current director of international affairs at the National Iranian Oil Company next week.
Meanwhile, at a Tuesday press conference, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad announced that Iran was reviewing a proposal to cut crude output. The president made the remark in response to recent media reports that Iran was planning to cut its crude exports by 400,000 to one million barrels per day starting next month.

3 MoUs With Bulgaria
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Iran and Bulgaria have signed three memoranda of understanding in the transport, IT and tourism sectors.
Iran’s Minister of Roads and Transportation Mohammad Rahmati and Bulgarian Transport Minister Peter Mutafchiev signed the MoUs following the 16th Iran-Bulgaria Economic Commission Meeting in Tehran.
The Bulgarian delegation held separate meetings with First Vice President Parviz Davoudi, head of Iran’s Cultural Heritage, Handcrafts and Tourism Organization, Esfandiar Rahim Mashaei and managing director of Iran Khodro Automobile Manufacturing Company, Manouchehr Manteghi.
Rahmati evaluated the meetings as ’positive’, adding the two sides held comprehensive talks on ways of expanding relations in road, air, sea, and railway transportation, energy, trade, investments, IT, tourism, and agriculture sectors.
“Bulgaria is a member of the European Union and is the gateway to Europe passing through Turkey,“ he noted.
The Bulgarian delegation toured the facilities of giant Iranian carmaker Iran Khodro and voiced interest to import Iran’s national car Samand, he said.
Mutafchiev, for his part, said that the Iran-Bulgaria Transportation Committee session will be held in Sofia in September.
To expand cooperation, the two sides decided to exchange data in the sector, he said, according to IRNA.
Bulgaria has called for amending the permits issued for passenger transportation companies of the two countries.
The two sides also underlined the need for cooperation in railway transportation and increasing the volume of freight.
Based on the MoU, the fist joint meeting of the marine and port cooperation committee will be held in Bulgaria by the end of 2008.
Also, during a visit to Shahid Rajaee Port, Mutafchiev stated that Iran enjoys high potentials in marine transportation.
In a meeting with the director general of Hormuzgan province’s Ports and Shipping Department, Mohammad-Reza Ashkriz, Mutafchiev voiced his country’s readiness to expand trade via Shahid Rajaee Port.

Iran to Share Housing Experiences
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Iran will share its achievements in the fields of housing and urban development with Asia-Pacific countries, said Minister of Housing and Urban Development Mohammad Saeedikia, ISNA wrote.
Addressing the Second Asia-Pacific Ministerial Conference on Housing and Urban Development (APMCHUD), he hoped that the conference could remove the problems in the region’s housing sector.
“Since the victory of the 1979 Islamic Revolution, positive steps have been taken in Iran’s housing sector,“ he recalled.
The minister pointed out that positive measures have been taken for low-income families in the past decades. Saeedikia also called on regional states to cooperate with each other.
He noted that the current conference can pave the way for World Urban Forum to be held in Nanjing, China, in October. “The conference will provide Iran with a good opportunity to exchange views with other delegations on the problems of urban development,“ Saeedikia said.
Meanwhile, secretary general of the Second Asia-Pacific Ministerial Conference on Housing and Urban Development said the conference aims to achieve sustainable development.
Addressing the inaugural ceremony, Manouchehr Khajeh-Dalouei said that the major objectives of the second APMCHUD are to attain sustainable development and prevent the growth of shanty towns by providing financial resources for housing and reducing the impacts of natural disasters.
He added that the second APMCHUD has scored considerable success thanks to regional cooperation compared with the first session held in India.

Bahrain Envoy Commended for Promoting Ties
Bahraini Minister of Industry and Mines Hassan Abdullah Fakhr in Manama on Wednesday commended his country’s ambassador to Iran, Rashid bin Al-Dosary, for his efforts to improve Iran-Bahrain ties, IRNA reported.
Referring to the positive impact of last week’s meeting between Iranian and Bahraini businessmen in Manama, Fakhr urged Al-Dosary to continue his efforts in this respect.
The fifth meeting of Iranian and Bahraini businessmen was held in Manama last week. Vice chairman of Iran’s Chamber of Commerce, industries and Mines, Alaeddin Mir-Mohammad Sadeqi led the delegation to the talks in Manama.
Iran’s delegation included the Head of Tehran’s Chamber of Commerce, Industries and Mines Yahya Al-e Eshaq, heads of six provincial chambers of industries and mines as well as 38 Iranian businessmen.
Iran-Bahrain trade exchanges in the past decade have increased from $20 million to $170 million, indicating an eight-fold increase.

Japan Ties Positive
Iran’s Ambassador in Tokyo Abbas Araqchi held talks with Japanese deputy foreign minister on issues of mutual interest on Wednesday.
At the meeting, Araqchi termed the trend of Tehran-Tokyo ties as positive, calling for boosting ties in all fields, IRNA reported.
They also discussed the latest developments in bilateral relations, Iran’s peaceful nuclear program, Tehran’s package of proposals as well as the situation in the region.
“Tehran’s package which contains solutions to world political, security, economic and energy problems, will help make a breakthrough in resolving international crises,“ Araqchi said.
Kenichiro Sasae, for his part, welcomed Iran’s new approach, terming Iran as an important country in the region. He also called for expanding ties with Iran, saying Japan will support every proposal which improves global political situation.
The two sides also conferred on the latest developments in the region, the Middle East, Persian Gulf and East Asia.
Meanwhile, governor of Khoy in West Azarbaijan province, Ebrahim Mohammadlou, discussed promotion of bilateral ties with his counterpart from the Turkish province of Van, Ozdemin Cakacak, on Thursday.
According to ISNA, Mohammadlou praised efforts by Iranian and Turkish border officials to ensure peace and security along the common borders.
He also assessed efforts to facilitate road transportation between the two countries as positive.
Cakacak, for his part, commended Iran for its campaign against smuggling in border areas.
Cakacak is in Khoy on a two-day visit to discuss further relations between the Iranian and Turkish provinces and prepare grounds for the upcoming economic meeting by Iranian and Turkish businessmen.