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Wed, Apr 30, 2008

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Canada’s Offshore Wind Options Limited
Nigeria Militants Wrecking Oil Sector

Canada’s Offshore Wind Options Limited
Canada has been slow to develop its great potential for offshore wind power, and is probably at least four years away from having any large scale projects up and running, a new report says.
The study, from Cambridge, Mass.-based Emerging Energy Research (EER), says Canada is far behind Europe, and slower than the United States, in building offshore wind farms, Globeinvestor reported.
“The birth of the Canadian offshore wind industry is years away, despite vast resource potential off the coast of British Columbia and in the Great Lakes off Ontario,“ the report said.
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Canada is far behind Europe, and slower than the United States, in building offshore wind farms.
There are just two Canadian offshore projects likely to come to completion in the next few years.
One is NaiKun Wind Development Inc.’s huge wind farm in Hecate Straight, off Haida Gwaii in British Columbia. But the first phase of that project won’t likely be completed until 2012, and only if the company secures a contract in B.C. Hydro’s upcoming clean energy call.
The other is Trillium Power Wind Corp.’s offshore wind farm planned for the eastern end of Lake Ontario, which is at least three years away from the start of construction.
By contrast, several European countries--Denmark, Britain, the Netherlands and Sweden --have been actively building large offshore wind projects since the late 1990s, and many more are on the drawing board across Europe.
The United States is also ahead of Canada, although no offshore projects have been built there yet. The Cape Wind project off New England will likely be the first, but there will likely be a surge in development starting around 2011, EER projects.
The key difference between Canada and Europe is that there is still lots of potential for land-based wind projects here, said EER analyst Matt Kaplan.
Denmark and Britain, by contrast, “don’t have that many onshore sites [left],“ he said. “There aren’t many options available for them ... so they’ve had to adopt the offshore technology much more quickly than the US or Canada, where there is currently a huge potential for onshore sites.“
Offshore wind farms also tend to be more expensive--partly because of the cost of linking them up to the power grid--so, given a choice, many developers will choose onshore sites if available.
In addition, some European governments pay more for wind power generated offshore, creating an additional incentive.
Finally, Europe has also had very stable and consistent government policies supporting wind power of all kinds, something that has not been the case in Canada or the United States, Kaplan said.
Indeed, Ontario had a moratorium on any offshore wind projects for more than a year, until it was lifted in January. The province wanted to study the potential environmental effects before letting any projects move ahead.
The biggest planned offshore project in Ontario is Trillium’s, which would involve placing 140 large turbines about 17 to 20 kilometers offshore in Lake Ontario, to generate about 700 megawatts of power.
Trillium chief executive officer John Kourtoff said in an interview that offshore wind should expand sharply in Canada when people become familiar with the concept.
But the industry has to get out the message that projects a considerable distance from shore will have little impact on visual vistas, he said.
Offshore wind turbines tend to be more efficient than those on shore, he said, because the winds are more powerful and blow when electricity is needed during the daytime hours.
The biggest issue will be the cost of transmitting the power by cable to the power grid, he conceded.
NaiKun’s West Coast wind farm could eventually generate as much as 1,750 MW of power. The first phase, with about 60 to 100 turbines producing about 320 MW, could be under construction by 2011 if the company wins a power contract with the B.C. government.

Nigeria Militants Wrecking Oil Sector
Violent attacks on oil installations have increased in recent weeks, raising concerns that Nigeria’s militants are aiming to make good on a promise to cripple the country’s petroleum industry.
Feeling the sting of recent attacks on its installations in the oil-rich Niger Delta, Royal Dutch Shell said on April 23 it might not be able to honor contracts for April and May because of decreased production levels, Energy-daily said.
The leading foreign oil producer in Nigeria said its output was off by 169,000 barrels per day because of the increased attacks by militant groups.
So far, the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta has claimed responsibility for at least three attacks on Shell installations including a facility at the Bonny terminal, causing the 169,000 bpd shortfall.
MEND said it was stepping up its attacks because of the arrest of one of its most prominent leaders, who is facing trial by a secret commission on several charges including weapons trafficking and treason.
MEND and other militant groups have been blamed for hundreds of kidnappings since violence in the delta began in 2005. Increased violence against oil operations in the delta has caused significant drops in the country’s oil output, according to the Nigerian government and independent accounts. Before stepped-up hostilities by militant and other armed groups in the Niger Delta beginning in late 2005, Nigeria produced about 2.5 million barrels per day. Since then, production has reportedly decreased by at least 20 percent, perhaps even by one-third, warn some analysts.
Since the 1970s, Nigeria, Africa’s No. 1 oil producer, has pumped more than $300 billion worth of crude from the southern delta states, according to estimates. High unemployment in the delta, environmental degradation due to oil and gas extraction, and a lack of basic resources such as fresh water and electricity have angered the region’s youth, who have taken up arms, many times supplied by political leaders, and formed militant groups and local gangs. The militants have called for a more equitable distribution of the country’s oil wealth.
Hoping to quell the violence, Nigerian President Umaru Yar’Adua reached out to the rebels following his April election asking for them to give his administration time to tackle the problems of the delta. Those proposed reforms include changes to the Nigerian economy, particularly its petroleum sector, which generates up to 95 percent of the country’s revenue.
However, since then MEND and other militant groups and gangs have repeatedly pledge to quell the violence only to return to attacking high-valued oil installations, disrupting production in Africa’s largest oil producer and contributing to global price increases, according to analysts.

Gas Output
China National Petroleum Corporation, the country’s largest oil and gas producer, plans to nearly double gas output in the nation’s resource-rich northwest by 2010.

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Brazil Oil Trapped
By 500-Degree Heat
Brazil’s plan to become one of the world’s biggest oil exporters hinges on exploiting crude six miles below the ocean surface in deposits so hot they can melt the metal used to carry uranium to nuclear plants.
Tapping what may be the biggest oil finds in the Western Hemisphere in three decades will require equipment that can withstand 18,000 pounds per square inch of pressure, enough to crush a pickup truck, pipes that can carry oil at temperatures above 500 degrees Fahrenheit (260 Celsius) and drill bits that can penetrate layers of salt more than one mile thick, Bloomberg reported.
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Petroleo Brasileiro SA, the state-controlled oil company, is betting on the Tupi and Carioca fields to become one of the world’s seven biggest crude exporters. Until the tools needed to exploit the reservoirs are invented, the crude will remain locked under the sea, said Matt Cline, a US Energy Department economist.
“This is a very, very technically challenging environment where no one’s ever done this,’’ Cline, who tracks the Latin American oil industry, said in a telephone interview from Washington. “These discoveries are in very deep water, and once you get to the seabed they are very deep under the floor, with a layer of salt that is definitely a difficult barrier.’’

Deepest Wells
Brazil’s oil will be harder to develop than the Gulf of Mexico, where the deepest wells are now in production, Cline said. Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp., the two biggest US oil companies, saw diamond-crusted drill bits disintegrate and steel pipes crumple when they attempted to tap deposits beneath the Gulf’s seafloor two years ago.
Pumping oil from the Brazilian finds, parts of which are 32,000 feet (10,000 meters) below the ocean’s surface, will require boring almost twice as far down as the world’s deepest producing offshore well.
The obstacles will discourage development unless crude prices stay high, said Tina Vital, an analyst at Standard & Poor’s in New York. US oil futures reached a record at $119.93 a barrel in after-hours electronic trading on April 27.
Engineers will have to overcome temperatures that range from near freezing above the ocean floor to temperatures that can melt bismuth, used for transporting uranium rods and for shotgun shells. Layers of salt will also increase the challenge because the crystals absorb seismic waves used to pinpoint oil deposits.
“The seismic issue is important because if you don’t identify the location of the oil properly, you’re going to waste a lot of money when you drill the hole in the wrong spot,’’ said Vital, a former Exxon engineer.
Brazil pumped 2.13 million barrels of oil a day in the last three months of 2007, more than OPEC members Angola, Libya and Algeria.
Tupi, 155 miles (250 kilometers) off Brazil’s coast, may begin production by 2012, according to consulting firm Strategic Forecasting in Austin, Texas. The field may have 8 billion barrels of recoverable oil.
No start date has been set for Carioca, which Petroleo Brasileiro said will take at least three months to evaluate. A Brazilian regulator said this month the reservoir may have 33 billion barrels.

Further Drilling
If confirmed by further drilling, the reserves will be triple the size of Alaska’s Prudhoe Bay, the largest US field.
The ocean-depth record for production was set last year by Anadarko Petroleum Corp. The company is extracting natural gas from beneath 8,960 feet of water in the Gulf of Mexico, where pressure measures 3,069 pounds per square inch, squeezing joints and tearing at seals.
“What we do at that water depth in the ocean is similar to NASA’s space program, but they get to do it without any pressure trying to attack them,’’ Kevin Renfro, production engineering manager at Woodlands, Texas-based Anadarko, said in a November interview.
Petrobras hasn’t said how much it spent to sink wells at Tupi and Carioca. Similar drilling by Exxon and Chevron Corp. in the Gulf of Mexico cost $180 million to $200 million for each well.
“A big find might not be a good find if it costs so much to develop that it’s not commercially viable,’’ S&P’s Vital said. “We don’t have any idea at all yet of all the costs that are going to be involved. Those costs are going to set the floor for oil prices.’’
Chevron, which has the deepest Gulf of Mexico exploration well, including distance below the seafloor, destroyed as many as a dozen $50,000 drill bits at each of the 14 wells in its $4.7 billion Tahiti project.
Exxon Mobil abandoned a Gulf project that would have been the deepest well after pressure and heat shut down the venture in August 2006. The Irving, Texas-based company developed pipes tough enough to withstand temperatures that would shatter regular steel at its Sakhalin-1 project in Russia. The metal may help make Brazil’s offshore fields accessible, Vital said.
“These challenges in the Brazilian offshore area are too great for any one company or even country to be able to digest themselves,’’ Vital said.