|
|
EU's real intention behind pushing free trade in the Mediterranean is to ensure that Western firms gain control of its natural resources.
|
Judging by some of their statements lately, European Union officials are hoping to chalk up a new entry in the Guinness Book of Records: the creation of the world’s largest free trade area.
According to Ipsnews.net, Benita Ferrero-Walner, the European commissioner for external relations, celebrated earlier this month the progress that has been made in talks on liberalizing commerce between the EU and its ’partners’ in the Mediterranean. If these talks are successful, she noted, a free trade area involving over 740 million consumers would be formed.
This goal, which the EU hopes to reach by 2010, has been on the table since a 1995 summit between EU and Mediterranean leaders in Barcelona. The state of play in the negotiations was recently discussed at a ministerial conference that the EU held with 12 Mediterranean governments: Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, the Palestinian Authority, Syria, Tunisia, Turkey, Albania and Mauritania.
Addressing that conference, Ferrero-Waldner noted that negotiations are to proceed on the liberalization of trade in services, as well as agricultural and fisheries products.
Yet the upbeat note she sounded belies how a study financed by her own institution, the European Commission, has concluded that free trade could worsen the already parlous state of many countries in the southern and eastern Mediterranean, where more than 30 percent of people live on less than two dollars a day.
Conducted by the Institute for Development Policy and Management at the University of Manchester, the study found that revenues raised from tariffs on imports will decline considerably once trade is liberalized, with the effects most acute in Lebanon and the Palestinian territories.
The decline in money entering national coffers would be equivalent to 5 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in Lebanon and more than 2 percent in Tunisia and Morocco.
Unless “mitigating actions“ are taken, the impacts on poverty as a result of industrial liberalization will be “significantly adverse“, according to the study. Less government revenue could hurt health and education programs, imperiling the realization of the United Nations’ millennium development goals of dramatically reducing extreme poverty by 2015.
Non-governmental organizations (NGOs) allege that the findings of the study are being ignored by the Brussels bureaucracy.
“The short-term and medium-term impact of a free trade agreement on the Mediterranean would be negative,“ said Kinda Mohamadieh from the Arab NGO Network for Development (ANND) in the Lebanese capital Beirut.
“It’s not just us saying that,“ she told IPS. “The European Union’s own data is saying that. But unfortunately this (the University of Manchester study) has ended up as another report that has been put in the drawer of some office.“
She suspects that the EU’s real intention behind pushing free trade in the Mediterranean is to ensure that Western firms gain control of its resources.
“There is a race between the EU and the U.S. in the Arab region to see who can control particular sectors and who can enter into agreements before the other,“ she added. “We believe there should be a stop to the negotiations.“
Among the other likely problems caused by trade liberalization that the University of Manchester identified are: a “significant rise in unemployment“; a fall in wage rates; “higher environmental stress“ in urban areas resulting from a large-scale migration away from the countryside; and “greater vulnerability“ of poor households to fluctuations in global market prices of essential foods.
At an average of 14 percent, unemployment is already a considerable concern for many Mediterranean countries, the study says. The number of people lacking a job is particularly high in the Palestinian territories and Algeria. Women and under-25-year-olds are the most likely to be out of paid work.
“Based on these forecasts, one must seriously question the advisability of the present headlong rush towards full trade liberalization by 2010,“ said Friends of the Earth campaigner Eugene Clancy.
“Under present arrangements, free trade will not bring noteworthy economic benefits to the Mediterranean region. It will, however, exacerbate environment problems, where environmental stress is already high and make poor people poorer still. Add to this the loss of government financial resources to provide health and educational services to their citizens, and you have a recipe for social upheaval.“
A European Parliament report has estimated that 35 million new jobs are needed in the Mediterranean between 2000 and 2015, just to prevent unemployment levels from rising above their present levels.